March 15th, 2005

Are Transit, Parks, And Trails The Next Atlanta Headline?

Curtis Johnson CURT JOHNSON: The very mention of Atlanta to people who’ve traveled there on business in recent years is enough to spark stories of navigating through relentless traffic. Everybody’s got a favorite horror story of being late to an appointment or missing an airplane flight.

That’s one reputation. Another is as a hot spot for the young and talented. Martha Riche, former director of the U.S. Census Bureau told a ULI trends conference in Atlanta last month that it’s young professionals who are arriving. One result: while the region is 9th on the charts for population, it’s 57th when it comes to households of marrieds-with-children. Atlanta’s first among Southern regions, she said, in incomes over $100,000 while also showing the lowest rate of poverty. The region’s considerably above average in rates of adults with high school completion, and even with BA degrees or higher.

Some of us Casssandras have been saying that the perils of the reputation for traffic paralysis would eventually undermine the attraction for business and a youthful work force. Now two trends, formerly unfamiliar in this region, make cause us to change our Dixie tune. People in Atlanta’s suburbs are rediscovering their preference for real town centers. From Snellville to Suwanee to Norcross, Duluth, Lilburn and Sugar Hill — town centers, long neglected, are getting put back together or built from scratch. Sidewalks are showing up. Housing close by is making a comeback. The city managers say it’s what the people now want.

Meanwhile, the Trust for Public Land Georgia chapter unveiled a grand plan this winter for a 23-mile bike and walking trail, linking four new parks, expanding nine others, and connecting to 11 existing ones. Simultaneously, MARTA, the transit authority, would build a 22-mile transit ring around the interior of the region. MARTA is studying four route variations, each of which connects many major destinations and town centers.

The transit ring would cost at least $1 billion. Trails about $15 million plus right of way acquisition. New MARTA stations would add another $50-100 million. And there’s a little matter of persuading the CSX railroad to give up its 87-acre Hulsey freightyard, switching those operations to its facility near Fairburn.

But the mere fact that all this is the subject of a robust public discussion, covered extensively by Atlanta media, suggest that the Atlanta region may be getting serious about the quality of its development pattern, and livability, not just setting world records for growth.

November 15th, 2004

FAST CHANGING SALT LAKE VALLEY — cultivating merlot in a red zone

Curtis Johnson CURT JOHNSON: Salt Lake City — Here this week to participate in a meeting of the national Alliance for Regional Stewardship (ARS), I find a region reveling in dramatic change. The political map colors Salt Lake City “red”, but enough urban values usually seen as “blue” show up too. That blend colors this place a marvelous merlot.

In less than a decade this region, this charter member of western individualism culture has shifted from a roads-and-cars (lots of trucks) mindset about transportation toward the balance that comes from a sophisticated system of transit. On top of two highly popular light rail lines, the region’s captured a network of 175 miles of existing rail lines interconnecting most of the valley’s cities and employment centers. Polls show 88 percent of people in the region strongly support more investment in rail transit.
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September 11th, 2004

NO ROOM TO BOOM: HOUSE PRICES AND LAND SUPPLY


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ROBERT LANG: Humorist Will Rogers once famously observed that people should buy land because “they don’t make it anymore.” That message resonates with home buyers in some of the nation’s most land constrained metropolitan areas. The National Association of Realtors’ house price data for 2004 shows price spikes in places where land supplies are short (see USA Today for the data).

In Las Vegas the price of a median price home jumped over half (52.4 percent) in just one year (from mid 2003 to 2004), the biggest gain for any metro area in the nation. Ironically, Las Vegas would seem a place of vast open spaces with lots of land to develop, but most of that space is owned by the federal government which must transfer it to private developers. But the transfer has occurred to slowly to keep pace with the region’s rapid development and as a result lot prices have shot up.
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